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Risk in Four Large
Cohorts
Eva Schernhammer,1,7,8
Brian Wolpin,3 Nader
Rifai,4 Barbara
Cochrane,9 Jo Ann
Manson,1,2,5
Jing Ma,1,5 Ed
Giovannucci,1,5,6
Cynthia Thomson,10,11
Meir J. Stampfer,1,5,6
and Charles Fuchs1,2,3
1Channing Laboratory,
Department of Medicine,
and 2Division of
Preventive Medicine,
Brigham and Women’s
Hospital and Harvard
Medical School;
3Department of Adult
Oncology, Dana-Farber
Cancer Institute;
4Department of
Laboratory Medicine,
Boston Children’s
Hospital, Harvard
Medical School;
Departments of
5Epidemiology and
6Nutrition, Harvard
School of Public Health,
Boston,
Massachusetts; 7Ludwig
Boltzmann-Institute for
Applied Cancer Research,
KFJ-Spital; 8Applied
Cancer Research,
Institute
for Translational
Research Vienna (ACR-ITR
VIEnna), Vienna,
Austria; 9University of
Washington School of
Nursing,
Seattle, Washington;
10Department of
Nutrition, College of
Agriculture and Life
Sciences and
11Arizona Cancer Center,
University of Arizona,
Tucson, Arizona
Abstract
Folate deficiency
induces DNA breaks and
may alter cellular
capacity for mutation
and epigenetic
methylation. Few studies
have examined the
influence of one-carbon
nutrients on
pancreatic cancer risk,
although recent studies
suggest a
potential protective
effect for one-carbon
nutrients from food
sources, but not from
supplements. We
conducted a prospective
nested case-control
study to examine plasma
concentrations
of folate, vitamin B6
[whose main circulating
form is
pyridoxal-5¶-phosphate
(PLP)], vitamin B12, and
homocysteine
in relationship to
pancreatic cancer, using
four large
prospective cohorts.
Multivariable adjusted
odds ratios (OR)
and 95% confidence
intervals (95% CI) were
calculated using
conditional logistic
regression. All
statistical tests were
two
sided. Among 208 cases
and 623 controls, we
observed no
association between
folate, PLP, vitamin
B12, or homocysteine
and pancreatic cancer
risk. Comparing the
highest to lowest
quartiles of plasma
concentration, the ORs
were 1.20 (95% CI,
0.76–1.91) for folate,
0.80 (95% CI, 0.51–1.25)
for B6, 0.91 (95%
CI, 0.57–1.46) for B12,
and 1.43 (95% CI,
0.90–2.28) for
homocysteine. In
analyses restricted to
nonusers of
multivitamins,
we observe a modest
inverse trend between
folate,
PLP, and B12 and
pancreatic cancer risk.
In contrast, no such
inverse associations
were observed among
study subjects who
reported multivitamin
supplement use. Among
all participants,
plasma levels of folate,
B6, B12, and
homocysteine were
not associated with a
significant reduction in
the risk of
pancreatic cancer. Among
participants who obtain
these
factors exclusively
through dietary sources,
there may be an
inverse relation between
circulating folate, B6,
and B12 and
risk. [Cancer Res
2007;67(11):5553–60]
Introduction
Pancreatic cancer is the
fourth leading cause of
cancer death,
causing more than 30,000
deaths in the United
States annually (1).
Relatively little is
known about the
pathogenesis and
epidemiology
of this malignancy other
than cigarette smoking
is associated with
an increased risk (2,
3). Recently, positive
associations between
obesity and pancreatic
cancer have been
observed in several
large
prospective studies
(4–8). However, the
relationship between
nutrient status and
pancreatic cancer is
less defined,
particularly
for nutrients which are
known to play a role in
DNA methylation.
DNA methylation and DNA
synthesis are largely
dependent on
the availability of
one-carbon,
methyl-donating
nutrients, and
deficiencies in
nutrients such as folate
or vitamin B6 and
vitamin
B12 may increase the
probability of gene
mutations and DNA
double strand breaks
(9). A few prospective
observational studies
have examined the
associations between
one-carbon nutrients and
risk of pancreatic
cancer. In the
Alpha-Tocopherol
Beta-Carotene
Cancer Prevention (ATBC)
Study cohort of Finnish
men, both
plasma folate (10) and
dietary folate (11) were
inversely associated
with pancreatic cancer
risk, but not among
those taking
supplemental folic acid
(11). However, because
the ATBC cohort
consisted of male
smokers with a high
proportion of
participants
with deficient folate
status (i.e., <3 ng/mL;
ref. 12), the
generalizability of
these findings to other
populations has been
questioned. In two large
prospective cohort
studies conducted in
the United States, total
folate intake was not
associated with
pancreatic cancer risk,
although when confined
to folate from food
sources only, an inverse
trend was seen in both
cohorts; in contrast,
multivitamin supplement
users in these two
cohorts seemed to
have a nonsignificant,
although somewhat
higher, risk of
pancreatic
cancer (13). Most recent
evidence from a
population-based cohort
study in Europe lends
further support to the
notion that an
increased intake of
folate from food
sources, but not from
supplements, may be
associated with a lower
risk of pancreatic
cancer (14).
To further assess the
influence of one-carbon
nutrients on
pancreatic cancer risk,
we examined the relation
of plasma folate,
vitamin B6, vitamin B12,
and homocysteine to
pancreatic cancer in
the largest study to
date, combining four
prospective cohort
studies of women and
men, participating in
the Nurses’ Health
Study (NHS), the Health
Professionals Follow-up
Study (HPFS),
Physicians’ Health Study
(PHS), and Women’s
Health Initiative
(WHI). Pooling of
samples from these four
prospective cohorts
allows for a more
rigorous examination of
plasma micronutrients
while minimizing the
potential biases that
are inherent in
retrospective studies of
pancreatic cancer
epidemiology.
Materials and Methods
Study subjects. The
Nurses’ Health Study
(NHS) is an ongoing
prospective study of
121,701 U.S. female
registered nurses.
Details of the
design and follow-up of
this cohort have
previously been
described (15).
Briefly, at enrollment
in 1976, the
participants, who were
30 to 55 years old,
completed a mailed
questionnaire providing
information on risk
factors for cancer and
cardiovascular disease.
Biennially, updated
exposure and disease
information is collected
by mail. From 1989 to
1990, blood samples were
collected from 32,826 of
the NHSparticipant s.
The Health Professionals
Follow-up Study (HPFS)
began in 1986 when
51,529 U.S. male
dentists, optometrists,
osteopaths, podiatrists,
pharmacists,
and veterinarians, ages
40 to 75 years,
responded to a mailed
questionnaire
(16). These men provided
baseline information on
age, marital status,
height
and weight, ancestry,
medications, smoking
history, medical
history,
physical activity, and
diet. Exposure and
medical history
information is
updated every 2 years.
Blood samples were
collected between 1993
and 1994
from 18,025
participants.
The Physicians’ Health
Study (PHS) was a
randomized, clinical
trial of
aspirin and h-carotene
among 22,071
predominantly
Caucasian-American
male physicians, 40 to
84 years of age. Blood
samples were collected
at
baseline, in 1982, from
14,916 (68%) of the
physicians. The men were
subsequently followed
for incident cancer
through annual mailed
questionnaires.
The Women’s Health
Initiative (WHI)
Observational Study
enrolled
93,676 postmenopausal
women ages 50 to 79 at
baseline. Recruitment
was
conducted from 1994 to
1998 and the health of
these participants was
followed for an average
of 8 years (range, 8–12
years) via periodic
health
forms and a clinic visit
3 years after
enrollment. Blood was
collected at the
first screening visit
from >95% of women.
Identification of case
and control
participants. Among
participants
who provided a baseline
blood sample, we
requested medical
records from
all those who reported
an incident diagnosis of
pancreatic cancer
through
2004 in any of the four
cohorts. Histopathologic
reports were reviewed by
a
study investigator to
confirm self-reported
diagnoses of pancreatic
cancer.
We excluded pancreatic
cancer cases with a
prior history of
malignancy
(other than nonmelanoma
skin cancer). Eligible
controls supplied a
blood
sample and had no cancer
diagnosis at the time
the matched case was
diagnosed. We chose at
random three controls
matched to each case on
year of birth, cohort
membership (WHI, NHS,
HPFS, or PHS), smoking
status (current, past,
or never), fasting
status at time of blood
draw, and
month of blood draw.
Among eligible women in
the NHS, we confirmed 51
cases of pancreatic
cancer diagnosed after
blood collection through
June 1, 2004 and 153
women who were free from
cancer at the time of
case assessment.
Subsequently, one
control was identified
as a case in the NHS so
that the
final NHSset included 51
cases and 152 controls.
Within the HPFS, we
identified 38 cases and
114 matched controls. In
the PHS, we confirmed
54 cases of pancreatic
cancer and 162 controls,
and within WHI, we
confirmed 104 cases of
pancreatic cancer and
312 women free from
diagnosed
cancer at the time of
case assessment as
matched controls. Thus,
a
total of 247 case
patients and 740 control
subjects were included
in this
pooled analysis.
Laboratory assays. In
each of the four
cohorts, venous blood
samples
were drawn into EDTA
tubes and shipped to our
laboratories within 24 h
on
chill packs. On arrival,
samples were separated
into plasma, buffy coat,
and
RBC and stored in liquid
nitrogen. Assays for
total folate, PLP,
vitamin B12,
and homocysteine were
conducted by Dr. Nader
Rifai (Children’s
Hospital,
Boston, MA); PLP assays
were conducted at ARUP
laboratories (Salt Lake
City, UT). Folate and
vitamin B12 were
measured by a
quantitative sandwich
enzyme immunoassay
technique on a 2010
Elecsys
auto-immunoanalyzer
(Roche Diagnostics).
Because PLP is the
principle biologically
active form of
vitamin B6 (17), we used
plasma PLP to determine
vitamin B6 levels. PLP
concentrations were
determined using the
Vitamin B6
radioenzymatic assay
(American Laboratory
Products Co. Ltd.),
which measures
pyridoxal-5¶-
phosphate (PLP). The
concentration of total
homocysteine was
determined
by an enzymatic assay on
a Hitachi 917 analyzer
(Roche Diagnostics),
using
reagents and calibrators
from Catch, Inc.
Blood samples for the
cancer cases and
controls were handled
together,
shipped together in the
same batch, and assayed
in random order in the
same analytic run. To
assess laboratory
precision, each batch
included
masked replicate plasma
samples that were
labeled in a manner
identical to
that for the regular
sample. All laboratory
personnel were blinded
with
respect to case or
control status. The mean
coefficients of
variation were
<3.9% for folate, 10.1%
for PLP, 7.6% for
vitamin B12, and 5.3%
for
homocysteine.
Statistical analyses. A
total of 247 case
patients and 740 control
subjects were included
in this analysis. We
identified statistical
outliers
based on the generalized
extreme studentized
deviate many-outlier
detection approach (18);
two participants with
improbable PLP and
vitamin B12
concentrations as well
as seven participants
with improbable
homocysteine levels were
identified as outliers
and excluded from
analyses
that included these
analytes. To reduce
possible reverse
causality bias, our
primary analyses
excluded all cases
diagnosed within the
first 2 years after
blood collection. Thus,
a total of 208 cases and
623 controls were
included
in our final data set
(NHS, 49 cases and 146
controls; HPFS, 32 cases
and 96
controls; PHS, 53 cases
and 159 controls; WHI,
74 cases and 222
controls).
The total numbers of
cases and controls for
some biomarkers were
slightly
lower because of missing
data resulting from low
plasma volume or
laboratory error (number
of missing values for
folate, n = 11; PLP, n =
3;
vitamin B12, n = 3; and
homocysteine, n = 2).
To test for differences
in vitamin levels
between cases and
controls, we
used mixed-effects
regression models for
clustered data to adjust
for
possible confounding due
to the matching factors
and for any residual
correlation between
cases and controls
within the matched set
(19). We
compared the geometric
means of plasma
biomarkers of cases and
controls
using paired t tests.
For other continuous
variables, we used the
Wilcoxon
signed-rank test to
evaluate differences.
For categorical
variables, we used a
m2 test to compare cases
and controls. Quartiles
of vitamin levels were
defined cohort specific
on the basis of plasma
levels of all controls
for the
overall analyses.
Partial Pearson
correlations among
control subjects,
adjusted for age and
cohort, were used to
evaluate the
associations between
the plasma biomarkers
and age and body mass
index (BMI). To estimate
the
odds ratios (OR) and 95%
confidence intervals
(95% CI), we used
conditional logistic
regression models,
adjusting for the
matching factors.
In multivariate
analyses, we
additionally adjusted
for other pancreatic
cancer risk factors as
well as gender and
cohort. Factors we
included were
physical activity
(NHSand HPFS, metabolic
equivalents per week in
quartiles; WHI and PHS,
number of episodes
‘‘exercise to sweat’’
per week in
four categories: none,
some, 2–3 times per
week, 4+ times per
week), BMI
(kg/m2), aspirin use
(yes/no), energy intake
(kcal), and a history of
diabetes
(yes/no). In addition,
current multivitamin
intake at blood draw was
assessed in all four
cohorts (yes/no). We
also examined whether
the ORs
changed after further
adjustment for parity
and intakes of calcium
and
vitamin D. In stratified
analyses, unconditional
logistic regression was
used,
and these models were
also adjusted for age
(in 5-year age groups:
<50,
50–54, 55–59, 60–64,
65–69, 70–75, z75 years)
and date of blood draw.
We
used the cohort-specific
medians of the
categories of the plasma
biomarkers in the
controls in models
(continuous variable) to
test for
linear trend by
calculating the Wald
statistics. All P values
are two sided. To
test for heterogeneity
between the four
cohorts, we assessed
Cochran’s Q
(20). All statistical
analyses were done using
the SAS 9.1 statistical
package
(SAS Institute, Cary,
NC). P < 0.05 was
considered statistically
significant.
Results
To minimize reverse
causation bias, we
restricted our main
analyses to cases
diagnosed 2 or more
years after blood
collection.
Table 1 shows baseline
characteristics of these
208 cases and 623
controls. The median
time between blood
collection and diagnosis
was 66 months (range,
24–250 months). Cases
had a higher BMI
and were slightly more
likely to use
multivitamins when
compared
with controls. Neither
folate, PLP, vitamin
B12, nor homocysteine
levels varied
significantly between
cases and controls in
the
combined cohorts. As
expected, folate, PLP,
and vitamin B12 were
positively correlated
with each other (Pearson
partial correlation
coefficients between
0.33 and 0.43, all P
values <0.001) given the
commonality in food
sources of these
nutrients (particularly
fortified cereal
products), whereas they
were inversely
correlated with
homocysteine. After the
exclusion of
multivitamin users,
these
correlations remained
similar (data not
shown).
Within each cohort
individually, none of
the evaluated nutrient
biomarkers was
associated with
pancreatic cancer risk,
and
this lack of association
was consistent across
cohorts (Q-statistic
test for heterogeneity:
folate, P = 0.85; PLP, P
= 0.62; vitamin
B12, P = 0.93;
homocysteine, P = 0.25).
We therefore combined
the
cohorts for all
subsequent analyses.
Circulating levels of
folate, PLP, vitamin
B12, and homocysteine
were not associated with
pancreatic cancer risk;
moreover,
neither stepwise (data
not shown) nor complete
mutual
adjustment for these
vitamin levels as well
as for known or
suspected pancreatic
cancer risk factors,
including BMI and
physical activity,
altered these estimates
(Table 2). The risks
remained virtually
unchanged after the
exclusion of cases that
occurred within 4 years
after blood collection
and changed only
slightly when we
restricted our analyses
to the 148 cases that
occurred before 1998.
Specifically, simple ORs
(top versus bottom
category) modeling only
cases that occurred
before 1998 (i.e.,
before folate
fortification) were 0.90
for B6 (95% CI,
0.52–1.53); We further
repeated our analyses
after excluding
participants
who reported
multivitamin supplement
use at baseline. In
analyses
restricted to
non–multivitamin users,
we observed a modest
inverse trend between
plasma folate, PLP, and
B12 and pancreatic
cancer risk, which
reached statistical
significance for PLP
(top
versus bottom quartile;
OR, 0.47; 95% CI,
0.24–0.92), but was
somewhat attenuated
after further adjustment
for BMI, physical
activity, and a history
of diabetes (OR, 0.51;
95% CI, 0.25–1.02).
We also examined the
association between
plasma levels of
onecarbon
nutrients and pancreatic
cancer according to
other risk
factors for pancreatic
cancer (Table 3).
Associations with the
various plasma factors
were not materially
modified across
categories of age,
gender, cohort, energy
intake, smoking status,
alcohol consumption, or
physical activity (data
shown in Table 3
for smoking only). For
the entire study
population, only 4.7%
reported a history of
diabetes mellitus; when
we restricted to
nondiabetics, our
findings were unchanged.
However, among
participants who were
below the median BMI
(<24.7 kg/m2), we
did observe a
significant inverse
trend between plasma PLP
and
pancreatic cancer risk
(OR, 0.56; 95% CI,
0.28–1.12, comparing
highest to lowest
quartiles; Ptrend =
0.03), whereas plasma
PLP was
not associated with risk
among participants with
BMI z 24.7 kg/m2.
In light of prior
analyses suggesting that
the inverse association
of one-carbon nutrients
with risk was restricted
to non–
supplement users (11,
13, 14), we further
repeated our stratified
analyses after excluding
participants who
reported multivitamin
use at blood collection
(Table 4). Among
nonusers of multivitamin
supplements who were
below the median BMI
(<24.7 kg/m2),
elevated circulating PLP
and vitamin B12 seemed
to confer a
reduced risk of
pancreatic cancer,
whereas folate did not.
Comparing the highest to
lowest quartiles of
plasma concentrations,
the ORs were 0.19 (95%
CI, 0.06–0.59; Ptrend =
0.02) for PLP,
0.27 (95% CI, 0.09–0.80;
Ptrend = 0.01) for
vitamin B12, and 0.41
(95%
CI, 0.14–1.17; Ptrend =
0.16) for folate.
Similar associations
were not
apparent among subjects
above the median BMI.
Moreover, when
we restricted our
analysis of
non–multivitamin users
to never
smokers, plasma folate
was associated with a
nonsignificant
reduction in the risk of
pancreatic cancer (OR,
0.30; 95% CI,
0.08–1.04), Finally, we
examined the influence
of multivitamin use on
risk in
our study population,
independent of plasma
nutrient levels.
Participants who
reported multivitamin
use at baseline
experienced
an OR for pancreatic
cancer risk of 1.43 (95%
CI, 1.03–1.99).
Of note, when we
restricted our plasma
analyses to participants
who reported
multivitamin use, the
multivariate ORs were
2.39 (top
versus bottom quartile;
95% CI, 0.67–8.46) for
folate, 1.66 (95% CI,
0.49–5.62) for PLP, 1.00
(95% CI, 0.33–3.02) for
vitamin B12, and 1.66
(95% CI, 0.63–4.39) for
homocysteine.
Discussion
In this nested
case-control study
pooling data from four
large
prospective cohorts,
plasma levels of folate,
PLP, B12, and
homocysteine were not
associated with
pancreatic cancer risk.
However, among
participants who did not
use multivitamin
supplements, there
seemed to be an inverse
relation between
circulating folate, PLP,
and B12 and pancreatic
cancer risk,
particularly among
subjects who maintained
a normal BMI. We
have previously reported
results on dietary
intake of these
nutrients and pancreatic
cancer risk in our
cohorts (13), and,
therefore, we did not
include analyses of
dietary intake in the
current analysis.
However, that analysis
of dietary intake was
consistent with the
current analysis of
plasma folate,
suggesting
that any benefit from
folate was limited to
dietary sources rather
than from supplements.
Evidence for a possible
link between folate
pathways and
pancreatic cancer risk
comes from several
studies reporting
significant associations
between
methylenetetrahydrofolate
reductase
genotypes and pancreatic
cancer risk (21–23).
Few previous studies
have examined the
association between
plasma levels of
one-carbon nutrients and
the risk of pancreatic
cancer. In a nested
case-control study of
the ATBC cohort of
29,133
male Finnish smokers,
126 participants who
developed pancreatic
cancer were matched with
247 controls (10). Serum
folate and PLP
(vitamin B6)
concentrations showed
statistically
significant inverse
dose-response
relationships with
pancreatic cancer risk,
with the
highest serum tertiles
having approximately
half the risk of the
lowest [folate: OR,
0.45; 95% CI, 0.24–0.82
(Ptrend = 0.009) and
PLP:
OR, 0.48; 95% CI,
0.26–0.88 (Ptrend =
0.02)]. A decreased risk
was
also noted for the
highest tertile of serum
homocysteine (OR, 0.65;
95% CI, 0.36–1.18;
Ptrend = 0.14). These
results suggest that
maintaining adequate
folate and pyridoxine
status may reduce
the risk of pancreatic
cancer. Nonetheless,
because the cohort
consisted exclusively of
male smokers, it remains
unclear whether
the findings are
generalizable to the
broader
population-at-large. In
addition, 90% of the
ATBC participants had
less than adequate
plasma folate levels
(10), of which 25% were
deficient. Supplement
use is uncommon in
Europe and only 12% of
these Finnish men
were supplement users.
It is conceivable that a
demonstrable
influence of folate
consumption may be
restricted to
populations
that are relatively
folate deficient, and
our data provide some
support for this
hypothesis. Although
nearly all our blood
samples
were collected before
fortification of flour
and cereals with folic
acid became mandatory in
the United States,
starting in January
1998 (24), our
participants still had
markedly higher plasma
folate,
PLP, and vitamin B12
levels than ATBC
participants. Thus, it
is
possible that we did not
find such a strong
association in the
present study because
our plasma folate levels
did not include
those in a low enough
range.
Prior studies of folate
intake and pancreatic
cancer risk suggest
that foods high in
folate have a protective
effect whereas folic
acid
supplements are not
protective. In the ATBC
Study cohort, dietary
folate was inversely
associated with
pancreatic cancer risk
(top
versus bottom quintile;
RR, 0.52; 95% CI,
0.31–0.87), whereas
folic
acid supplement users
seemed to have a higher
risk of pancreatic
cancer [risk ratio (RR),
1.60; 95% CI, 0.92–2.77;
ref. 11]. Similarly, in
the NHSand the HPFS,
there was no association
between total
folate intake and
pancreatic cancer risk
(top versus bottom
quartile; RR, 1.03; 95%
CI, 0.74–1.43), yet
folate from food sources
only was suggestive of
an inverse association
(top versus bottom
quartile; RR, 0.66; 95%
CI, 0.42–1.03; Ptrend =
0.12). Moreover, within
these two cohorts,
supplement users seemed
to have a somewhat
higher risk of
pancreatic cancer (13).
Consistent with these
findings, a
population-based cohort
study in Sweden (14)
reported
an inverse association
between total folate
intake and pancreatic
cancer risk (top versus
bottom quintile; RR,
0.33; 95% CI,
0.15–0.72),
whereas there was no
association between
folate from supplements
and pancreatic cancer
risk (RR, 1.02; 95% CI,
0.56–1.88). Among the
reasons for an inverse
association with
one-carbon nutrients
only
among nonusers of
multivitamins is that
the association between
one-carbon nutrients and
pancreatic cancer risk
may be nonlinear.
For folate, it has been
discussed that there is
potential for
disruption of transport
mechanisms through folic
acid or potential
for fostering growth at
very high levels as seen
in supplement users
(25); our finding of an
increased pancreatic
cancer risk among
multivitamin users is in
line with this
hypothesis. Further,
unlike
our study which uses
plasma folate levels,
previous studies using
dietary assessments of
folate have not been
able to take the greater
bioavailability of
folate from supplements
into account and thus
may have been hampered
by substantial
misclassification.
Elevated risks of
pancreatic cancer with
supplement use have
been noted both in
European and U.S.
cohorts (11, 13, 14),
with
studies supporting a
beneficial effect of
one-carbon nutrients
when
derived from food
sources, but not from
supplements. Among the
proposed hypotheses to
explain these surprising
findings is a
suggestion that food
folate levels may be
more representative of
long-term folate
exposure, which might be
more relevant to
pancreatic tumorigenesis
than is recent exposure
from multivitamins
(13). An alternative
dietary factor that is
correlated with
dietary folate may
otherwise account for
the inverse association
with folate from food
sources only. Consistent
with previous
studies, we, too, noted
a suggestion of an
increased risk of
pancreatic cancer risk
with higher folate and
PLP levels among the
multivitamin users in
our cohorts. The
suggestion of an
increased
risk for pancreatic
cancer among the
multivitamin users
requires
confirmation; additional
studies should further
assess the influence
of long-term
multivitamin supplement
use on pancreatic cancer
risk.
We found a stronger
inverse association for
folate, PLP, and
vitamin B12 among
non–multivitamin users
who maintained a
healthy weight or were
nonsmokers. Such
findings are consistent
with the inverse
relation observed in the
ATBC cohort of male
smokers, which included
few overweight or obese
participants
(10, 11). This may be
related to the fact that
body weight overrides
methylation status
and/or nutrient status
in terms of the strength
of its relationship to
pancreatic cancer risk.
However, we cannot
rule out the role of
chance in these subgroup
findings, especially
because their mechanism
remains unclear.
Our analysis has several
limitations of note.
Because we used
four distinct cohorts
for our analyses,
covariate assessment was
not
always done in a
comparable fashion,
which may have
compromised
our ability to fully
adjust for potential
confounding factors.
On the other hand,
pooling of four cohorts
created one of the
largest data sets of
pancreatic cancer cases
to date and allowed
us to look at several
questions, including
stratified analyses, in
a
more powerful way than
previous studies.
Although measurement
error in the laboratory
assays cannot be fully
excluded, the
relatively low
coefficients of
variability of our
plasma measurements
suggest that they were
relatively reliable.
Moreover, they
have successfully been
linked to other disease
(e.g., colon cancer),
indicating that
measurement error is not
large enough to hide any
real associations.
Folate levels may have
changed after national
folic acid
fortification, which
began in 1997 and was
mandatory by January
1, 1998. All samples
used for measuring the
biomarkers in our study
were drawn markedly
before fortification
(NHS: between 1989 and
1990; HPFS: between 1993
and 1994; PHS: 1982),
with the exception
of the WHI cohort, in
which blood draws
occurred between 1994
and 1998. However, given
that full fortification
levels would likely
only have occurred at or
after 1998, even the
samples drawn from
WHI participants were
unlikely to represent
‘‘post-fortification
values.’’ Thus, the
samples drawn from all
cohorts were almost
exclusively reflective
of pre-fortification
folate. When we
stratified
our data by cohort,
results were very
similar within each
cohort
individually. In
addition, because the
development of
pancreatic
cancer likely requires
some induction period
before the onset of a
clinically apparent
tumor, it is unlikely
that the
post-fortification
folate exposure (which
was not assessed by our
pre-fortification
plasma specimens) would
substantially influence
pancreatic cancer
risk through 2002. Of
note, we also assessed
plasma vitamin B6,
which would not have
been influenced by
fortification.
Interestingly,
the results for B6 seem
to parallel our findings
for folate, with
the greatest benefit
among non–supplement
users. Moreover, our
findings for plasma
folate are consistent
with other large
prospective studies of
folate intake (11, 13,
14), suggesting that
any benefit from folate
is limited to dietary
sources rather than
from supplements.
Further, as can be seen
on Table 1, plasma
levels
were very comparable
between the four cohorts
despite the fact the
blood samples were drawn
at various time periods
between 1982
and 1998. We believe
that this relative
consistency in plasma
levels
between cohorts reflects
the fact that folate
fortification after 1998
did not influence plasma
levels in our cohorts.
Strengths of our
analysis include the
relatively large sample
size
and its prospective
design and high
follow-up rates, both of
which
reduce the possibility
that bias influenced our
results.
In summary, our study
does not support a clear
association
between circulating
levels of one-carbon
nutrients and the risk
of
pancreatic cancer. Among
participants who achieve
their intake of
these factors
exclusively through
dietary sources, there
may be an
inverse relation between
circulating folate, B6,
and B12 and risk,
particularly among
subjects who maintained
a normal BMI;
nonetheless, such subset
analyses must be viewed
cautiously due
to multiple comparisons
and smaller sample size
within exposure
groups. Additional
experimental and
observational studies
are
needed to clarify and
confirm or refute these
associations.
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